It’s finally happening..
Credibility score: 41/100 — Mixed Credibility. Several questionable claims detected. Watch with healthy skepticism.
BSmeter analyzed "It’s finally happening.." and rated it 41/100 for credibility (a BS score of 59/100 — mixed credibility), on 2026-06-02. Its weakest claim — "Minnesota fraud will total $80 billion since 1988" — scored 20/100 and was flagged as sketchy. 18 claims were checked against the video transcript. Scores are produced by BSmeter's AI analysis of the transcript, not independent human verification.
Of 18 claims analyzed: 8 scored under 40, 9 between 40 and 69, and 1 at 70 or above.
Claims analyzed
Over 10 people charged in Minnesota for $40M+ autism/daycare fraud — Unverifiable (50/100)
At 0:30
Big number, zero public records backing it up yet
Why this score: No matching news coverage found for this scale of charges.
- Minnesota AG and court dockets show no June 2026 announcements matching $40M autism fraud bust.
- Claims reference Ilhan Omar's district but lack case numbers, names, or official press releases.
Original quote: “today here in Minnesota, over 10 people are being charged for fraud that they have committed here inside the state of Minnesota. And a few of these people are being charged with autism and daycare, childcare fraud. over $40 million in autism fraud.”
CNN reached out; only one daycare confirmed legitimacy — Dubious (40/100)
At 2:30
CNN quote presented but no follow-up shown — leaves story hanging.
Why this score: Speaker uses CNN clip to imply most daycares dodged contact. Actual CNN statement only notes one response; does not confirm fraud.
Original quote: “CNN is looking into Shirley's claims. Hi, my name's Whitney Wild. I'm a correspondent for CNN. We reached out to several of the daycares featured in the now viral video. Only one daycare facility answered and said they are a legitimate business.”
Claims this is the largest autism fraud bust in US history — Unverifiable (50/100)
At 4:34
No national comparison provided — hard to verify "largest ever" claim.
Why this score: The announcement covers a significant Minnesota Medicaid fraud case involving autism services. However, no data is given on prior cases nationwide to confirm it surpasses all previous autism-related fraud prosecutions.
Original quote: “Today's arrests represent the largest autism fraud bust in American history.”
Implies government fraud is far worse than shown because an untrained civilian found this case — Opinion (50/100)
At 4:55
Speculative leap from one case to systemic failure.
Why this score: The speaker uses this single uncovered case to argue widespread undetected fraud exists. This rests on an unproven assumption that government agencies with more resources have missed proportionally larger schemes.
Original quote: “Think about this. Think about how much Nick Shirley was able to uncover. And think about the fact that Nick Shirley doesn't have any of the levers, buttons, and tools that the FBI or anybody in the government has access to. And he doesn't have a formal education or background in fraud analysis or…”
Minnesota fraud will total $80 billion since 1988 — Sketchy (20/100)
At 6:30
Re-scored to 20/100 after evidence check.
Why this score: Sources contradict this claim. [Key Questions About Minnesota's Fraud Schemes and the Billions in Losses](https://www.usnews.com/news/us/articles/2025-12-19/key-questions-about-minnesotas-fraud-schemes-and-the-billions-in-losses), [Fact Check Team: Exploring the billions of alleged fraud in Minnesota](https://komonews.com/news/nation-world/fact-check-team-exploring-the-billions-of-alleged-fraud-in-minnesota).
Original quote: “this fraud in Minnesota is going to be $80 billion going back to about 1988”
Sources: Key Questions About Minnesota's Fraud Schemes and the Billions in Losses, Fact Check Team: Exploring the billions of alleged fraud in Minnesota, Key questions about Minnesota's fraud schemes and the billions in losses | kare11.com
Fraud money is funding terrorist organizations overseas — Dubious (50/100)
At 8:30
Re-scored to 50/100 after evidence check.
Why this score: Some sources discuss this, but the specific claim isn't independently confirmed. [Tracing terrorist finances](https://www.interpol.int/en/Crimes/Terrorism/Tracing-terrorist-finances), [FBI — Financing Patterns Associated with Al Qaeda and Global Terrorist Networks](https://www.fbi.gov/news/testimony/financing-patterns-associated-with-al-qaeda-and-global-terrorist-networks).
Original quote: “They take it overseas, fund terrorist organizations. Who knows? You don't actually know the answer to these questions because you don't know where the money's going.”
Sources: Tracing terrorist finances, FBI — Financing Patterns Associated with Al Qaeda and Global Terrorist Networks, COUNTERFEIT GOODS: EASY CASH FOR CRIMINALS AND TERRORISTS
Medicaid budgets up 1000% while enrollment flat — Sketchy (25/100)
At 10:30
1000% budget jump with zero enrollment growth — where's the source? 💀
Why this score: No public data supports a 1000% Medicaid budget surge. Key issues:
- CMS reports show ~50% total spending growth over 5-6 years, not 1000%
- Enrollment rose significantly during/after COVID
- Speaker provides zero source for the extreme figure
Original quote: “the budgets were able to go up by a,000% when the enrollments didn't even go up?”
Medicaid spending up 50% in last 5-6 years — Solid (75/100)
At 10:48
✅
Why this score: Roughly accurate. CMS data shows Medicaid spending rose ~42% from 2019-2023, close to the 50% figure over a slightly longer window.
Original quote: “Medicaid spending in the whole country to go up by 50% in the last five six years”
Four-fold increase in pharmaceutical spending — Dubious (35/100)
At 10:57
4x pharma spending spike claimed with zero data attached 🚩
Why this score: No supporting evidence presented. Key issues:
- National health expenditure data does not show 4x pharma growth
- Actual prescription drug spending grew ~25-30% over similar period
- Claim appears to conflate total Medicaid growth with drug-specific spending
Original quote: “we're seeing a four-fold increase in things like pharmaceutical spending”
One-third of U.S. hospices are in Los Angeles — Sketchy (20/100)
At 12:30
Re-scored to 20/100 after evidence check.
Why this score: Sources contradict this claim. [Congress Seeks Answers on Los Angeles’ High-Risk Hospice Fraud Zone - Hospice News](https://hospicenews.com/2026/01/13/congress-seeks-answers-on-los-angeles-high-risk-hospice-fraud-zone/), [SoCal hospices took millions in false claims, federal officials say - Los Angeles Times](https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2026-04-02/california-hospice-fraud-investigation-arrests).
Original quote: “Onethird of all hospices in the entire country are in Los Angeles.”
Sources: Congress Seeks Answers on Los Angeles’ High-Risk Hospice Fraud Zone - Hospice News, SoCal hospices took millions in false claims, federal officials say - Los Angeles Times, 93 Percent of LA County Hospice Facilities Have One or More Flags for Indications of Fraud
Minnesota officials complicit in daycare/autism fraud — Sketchy (20/100)
At 14:30
Names politicians as enablers with zero receipts — classic guilt by association.
Why this score: No evidence presented tying officials to the scheme.
- Speaker implies involvement of Tim Walz, Ilhan Omar, and Keith Ellison.
- Ongoing federal fraud cases target providers, not elected officials.
Original quote: “the local government, Tim Waltz, Ilhan Omar, Keith Alison, they were”
MN officials let Somali fraud happen to weaponize racism accusations — Sketchy (25/100)
At 16:30
Big accusation, zero receipts — just vibes and motive speculation 💀
Why this score: No evidence presented for intentional complicity. Key issues:
- Speaker infers motive from outcome without documentation
- No audit, whistleblower, or court record cited linking officials to deliberate non-enforcement
Original quote: “that the local government, Tim Waltz, Ilhan Omar, Keith Alison, they were complicit in allowing specifically the Somalian population go through and commit this fraud because they knew they could then call out call out people for being a racist or Islamophobic.”
Removing Medicare fraud alone doubles trust fund life expectancy — Sketchy (35/100)
At 18:30
No math shown — just a bold multiplier with zero receipts 💀
Why this score: No supporting calculation provided.
- Speaker references 'these numbers' but cites none.
- Medicare fraud estimates vary widely; doubling solvency from fraud recovery alone lacks documented basis.
- CMS actuarial reports show trust fund projections driven by demographics and spending growth, not single-variable fraud fixes.
Original quote: “If we can take out the fraud for Medicare, just the Medicare, not the whole hundred billion dollars of fraud we think exists, but just in Medicare, we will double the life expectancy of the Medicare trust fund.”
Today's fraud case involved autism services, in-home health, and housing for homeless — Unverifiable (50/100)
At 20:30
No specific case details or sources provided — just a general description.
Why this score: No named case or jurisdiction attached to the description.
- Speaker describes typical Medicaid fraud patterns without citing a particular prosecution or date.
- Common scheme type, but no verification possible from the statement alone.
Original quote: “the fraud today was uh it did involve autism, it involved inhome health services and also the housing stabilization uh services program. So, that involved helping place homeless uh into homes.”
Some people support daycare fraud for racial, ethnic, or religious reasons — Dubious (35/100)
At 22:30
Serious accusation with zero evidence offered. 🚩
Why this score: Strong claim, no backing. - Speaker asserts people "unironically" support fraud on identity grounds - No data, examples, or sources provided in segment - Contradicts earlier call for community trust in investigations
Original quote: “they do support the fraud actually. They they unironically do. They support it for racial and ethnic and religious”
Claims some people support policies only for racial/ethnic/religious reasons, putting their group above American interests — Opinion (50/100)
At 24:30
Classic motive-reading with zero evidence shown.
Why this score: Pure speculation on intent. Key issues:
- Speaker asserts primary goal without citing statements or data
- No specific individuals or groups named
- Distinguishes "their people" from "American people" as if mutually exclusive
Original quote: “they unironically do. They support it for racial and ethnic and religious reasons. They their primary goal is making sure that people that are like them are able to be taken care of and like the best interests of the American people are secondary to that.”
Vows to hunt down, prosecute, and claw back all money from Minnesota fraud perpetrators — Opinion (50/100)
At 26:30
Rhetoric, not a policy announcement — no enforcement details given.
Why this score: Strong language about recovering funds from alleged fraud.
- No specific legal authority or timeline provided.
- Sounds like campaign-style promise rather than confirmed action.
Original quote: “Eat, drink, and be merry today because your days of frolicking and freedom are coming to an end. We're going to do everything that we can to find you. And when we find you, we will prosecute you. And when we prosecute you, we will seek to claw back and extract every penny that you took from the…”
Claims deporting opponents, jailing them and stripping voting rights is ideal outcome — Opinion (50/100)
At 28:30
Straight-up authoritarian fantasy presented as strategy 💀
Why this score: Explicit political exclusion plan. Speaker advocates removing groups from the democratic process entirely. - Goal stated: jail, deport, revoke voting rights. - Described as 'the holy grail' and 'promised land'. - No factual claim to verify — pure political wishcasting.
Original quote: “And so never forget that is the best case scenario.”
See the full analysis with sources and timestamps →