No one saw this coming..
Credibility score: 43/100 — Mixed Credibility. Several questionable claims detected. Watch with healthy skepticism.
BSmeter analyzed "No one saw this coming.." and rated it 43/100 for credibility (a BS score of 57/100 — mixed credibility), on 2026-06-15. Its weakest claim — "Pakistan announces US-Iran peace deal signed" — scored 5/100 and was flagged as bs. 19 claims were checked against the video transcript. Scores are produced by BSmeter's AI analysis of the transcript, not independent human verification.
Of 19 claims analyzed: 5 scored under 40, 14 between 40 and 69, and 0 at 70 or above.
Claims analyzed
Video opens with teaser montage about Iran peace deal — Just Vibes (50/100)
At 0:00
Quick-cut preview of the Iran deal drama before any facts land.
Why this score: This is a standard highlight reel intro. No actual claims made yet — just clips teasing later content.
Original quote: “[0:00] Iran war ended with peace. Nah, that's [__] What are we talking about? The Iran war is over. I don't believe that. [0:08] Trump says Iran peace deal could be signed in a matter of hours, but Israel's actions are complicating the situation. The president told Fox News uh Trey Yinx that he…”
Pakistan announces US-Iran peace deal signed — BS (5/100)
At 0:30
No US-Iran peace deal announced June 15 — Reuters, CNN, Snopes all silent.
Why this score: No supporting evidence anywhere. Key issues:
- Major outlets (Reuters, CNN) show zero coverage of any deal
- Snopes has no entry on this claim
- Pakistan PM's office issued no such statement
Original quote: “Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the peace deal between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran has been reached.”
Sources: Pakistan claims US-Iran deal to be signed within 24 hours; Tehran pushes back, US, Iran agree to peace deal, according to Pakistan's prime minister, US and Iran have reached 'Peace Deal' including Lebanon truce, Pakistani PM announces
This is the 39th failed Iran deal attempt — Dubious (45/100)
At 2:30
The '39th time' line is pure hyperbole — real count is way lower, but the skepticism about past collapses is earned.
Why this score: Exaggerated number.
- '39th time' is rhetorical, not literal
- Pattern of Iranian walkbacks is historically accurate
- No specific past deal count provided to verify
Original quote: “Is this the 39th time? Yeah, I feel like we've heard this so many times, right? ... We've been at this moment before only to have the Iranians step back from the negotiating table”
Trump's Iran deal is about to be signed electronically — Dubious (35/100)
At 4:35
Fox never announced any pending Trump Iran deal — this one came out of nowhere.
Why this score: No public reporting supports an imminent Trump-Iran deal.
- Current coverage shows ongoing diplomatic talks involving Qatar and the US, not a finalized Trump agreement.
- No major outlets, including Fox, have reported any "electronic signature" stage.
Original quote: “President Trump's Iran deal is pending electronic signature per Fox.”
IRGC problem solved by taking out 10-20 years — Opinion (50/100)
At 4:56
Vague military timeline with zero specifics on what "taking out" means.
Why this score: Broad assertion without operational detail.
- No definition of the 10-20 year timeline or method.
- Typical commentary on IRGC strategy rather than a verifiable claim.
Original quote: “The only way to deal with IRGC is take out about 10 to 20 years.”
Iran's president said they won't bow or submit to anyone — Unverifiable (50/100)
At 5:20
Can't confirm the exact quote — no source or context provided.
Why this score: Quote attributed to "President M Pion" without citation.
- No matching public statement from Iranian leadership found in current coverage.
- Speaker appears to be reading or paraphrasing from an off-screen source that isn't shown.
Original quote: “President M Pion says will not bow to submit to anyone. He just literally said we will not bow down or submit to anyone.”
Claims Trump just finalized a deal opening Strait of Hormuz and ending US blockade — Dubious (35/100)
At 6:36
No record of any such announcement from Trump or US government on June 9th.
Why this score: No matching announcement exists in official channels or major reporting. Key issues:
- Transcript references June 9th date with no supporting news
- US naval blockade of Strait of Hormuz has not been active since 2019-2020 tensions
- No credible reports confirm deal completion or blockade removal
Original quote: “A deal with the Islamic Republic is now complete. Congratulations. Oh, this is it. Congratulations to all. I fear I hereby fully authorize the toll-free opening of the Straight of Hormuz and simultaneously herewith authorize the immediate removal of the US naval blockade.”
Predicts attacks will continue despite supposed deal, oil won't flow — Opinion (50/100)
At 6:47
Pure speculation dressed as prediction — fair enough given past patterns.
Why this score: This is forward-looking opinion rather than a verifiable claim. Speaker correctly notes past deals have failed to hold, which aligns with historical precedent of Iran-related maritime incidents.
Original quote: “Ships to the world. Start your engines. Let the oil flow. I will believe this in a week. I will I'll believe it in a week. I think that they're going to keep blowing up ships. Somebody is going to get attacked.”
Suggests June 9th video might be fake because bombing continues — Just Vibes (50/100)
At 7:17
Calling out the timeline mismatch — smart skepticism when the deal and the bombs don't line up.
Why this score: Speaker raises legitimate timeline concerns. If the video claims a June 9th deal but reports show continued strikes, the source video's authenticity becomes questionable regardless of the deal's actual status.
Original quote: “Good news has been confirmed dead. This is June 9th. Yeah. I mean like if if they're still bombing, I don't even know when this happened, right? I mean, it could be a random [__] video.”
Israel doesn't target civilians because they're 'on our side' — Opinion (40/100)
At 8:30
Framing civilian targeting as purely a 'sides' issue rather than a factual question about conduct.
Why this score: Moral framing over evidence.
- Speaker acknowledges both sides have targeted civilians historically
- Then pivots to alliance loyalty instead of addressing the conduct question
- This is a values stance, not a factual claim about targeting records
Original quote: “They fund people that attack and kill civilians on purpose... Does Israel do that too? Israel's on our side. Iran's not. It's that simple.”
Claims working in defense industry makes him sure Israel is on US side — Personal Story (50/100)
At 10:30
Pulls the 'I work in defense' card like that settles the geopolitics.
Why this score: Personal credential offered as proof. No specific evidence or data presented.
- Job title alone doesn't verify alliance assessments
- Anecdote, not analysis
Original quote: “As someone who works in defense industry, Israel is definitely on our side. They just aren't our enemy.”
Says Trump's Iran deal is pending electronic signature right now — Dubious (35/100)
At 10:50
No public record of any new Trump-Iran deal on June 15, 2026.
Why this score: No matching announcement in current reporting.
- Real-time search shows zero coverage of a pending electronic signature
- Earlier Trump comments on Iran were about past JCPOA, not a fresh deal
Original quote: “Trump's Iran deal is pending electronic signature.”
Says he'd pick Israel over Iran every single day without question — Opinion (50/100)
At 11:10
Straight opinion — no fact to check, just picking a side.
Why this score: Clear preference stated.
- Not presented as analysis or data
- Opinion label fits
Original quote: “I would pick Israel over Iran every day of the week. Absolutely. Like, it's not even a question.”
Claims anyone against picking Israel is listening to terrorist propaganda — Opinion (50/100)
At 11:23
Broad brush — anyone disagreeing gets labeled terrorist propaganda listener.
Why this score: Sweeping accusation with zero evidence shown.
- Reduces complex debate to binary loyalty test
- Opinion dressed as diagnosis
Original quote: “anybody who doesn't want you to do that is probably listening to terrorist propaganda.”
Calls for never making peace with certain groups labeled terrorists — Opinion (50/100)
At 12:30
Straight policy stance — no fact to check, just a hardline view.
Why this score: Pure opinion on Middle East strategy.
- Speaker frames entire groups as irredeemable terrorists
- No data or evidence presented, only personal position
- Aligns with his stated goal of eliminating groups he sees as threats
Original quote: “I think that you should never ever make peace with these people. I think that they are terrorists and the world will be a better place when they are all gone.”
Claims white men harmed Iranians more than other Iranians — Opinion (50/100)
At 14:30
Puts the entire Iranian diaspora in one box — that's doing some heavy lifting.
Why this score: Framing issue. The speaker equates 'white men' with 'fellow Iranians' as if shared ethnicity overrides individual actions. No data offered to compare harm levels between groups.
Original quote: “Your your fellow Iranian your fellow white men have done more harm to you than Iranians. Don't you agree?”
Calls group terrorists who kill their own people and rejects freedom fighter comparison — Opinion (50/100)
At 16:30
Straight opinion on who counts as terrorists vs freedom fighters — no new facts to check.
Why this score: Pure opinion framing.
- Speaker labels an unnamed group as terrorists killing their own people
- Rejects "freedom fighter" comparison to American Revolution
- No specific group, numbers, or events cited to verify
Original quote: “do because these people are a plague. They are a plague. They are terrorists. They kill their own people. They kill our people. They blow things up. And the longer that you allow them to exist, the more power that they will accumulate. So, you're not going to just ignore them and they're going to…”
Every page of history proves his no-negotiation stance is correct — Sketchy (25/100)
At 18:30
Every single page? History is full of negotiated peaces that outlasted total destruction attempts.
Why this score: Universal historical proof claim is unfalsifiable rhetoric.
- Treaties, alliances, and cold wars show mixed outcomes for both engagement and isolation.
- No specific examples provided to support the blanket assertion.
Original quote: “Absolutely. Like I'm I'm actually and and if you look, by the way, in history, every single page of the history book proves me right. Okay?”
Iran always lies and breaks every deal — Opinion (50/100)
At 20:30
Zero specific deals named — just blanket 'they've lied too many times'
Why this score: Broad historical claim without concrete examples.
- JCPOA was the most recent major deal referenced in public debate
- No timeline or particular broken agreement cited here
- Personal stance presented as settled fact
Original quote: “if you make peace with the Ron, they no longer consider us a mortal enemy. Why is that not an acceptable outcome to you? Because they're not. They're just going to lie to you. They're ideologically captured. They're religious zealots and they can't be allowed to like uh they can't be allowed to be…”
See the full analysis with sources and timestamps →