The S&P 500 could reach 7,500 by year-end, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee

Credibility score: 66/100 — Mostly Credible. Mixed credibility - some claims are solid, others need verification.

Claims analyzed

S&P up 6 months in row; only 6x since 1928 — Solid (85/100)

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S&P gains 200-250 pts in Nov to reach 7100 — Opinion (50/100)

Bold call — 3% in a month ain't crazy but let's see 👀

True inflation now sub 2% including housing — Solid (75/100)

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AAII sentiment avg -11.5; only 3x in 35 yrs, all bull mkts — OK (65/100)

Sentiment stat tracks but 'bull markets' oversold ⚠️

Shelter CPI at 0.16% MoM, 2% YoY — Verified (90/100)

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S&P up 17% YTD; 80% fund managers underperforming — Solid (80/100)

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54% of CPI components deflating, highest since COVID — OK (65/100)

Specific number but no source cited ⚠️

Companies absorbing 70% tariff hit yet margins rising — Dubious (45/100)

70% absorption pulled from thin air? No receipts 🚩

Fed cuts make sense if inflation good, jobs weak; housing in big trouble — Opinion (50/100)

Standard Fed watch — housing weak is real but cuts are anyone's guess 🤷‍♂️

Fed doing $30B repo activity past couple days to ease liquidity — Solid (75/100)

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S&P 500 to 7,300-7,500 by year-end — Opinion (50/100)

Tom's classic moonshot call — we'll see if Fed delivers 🚀🤷‍♂️

Worst year for fund managers in almost 30 years — Solid (80/100)

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Oct 10th was biggest crypto liquidation ever, bigger than FTX — Solid (75/100)

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Ethereum stablecoin volumes exploding, app revenues at ATH — OK (65/100)

Stablecoin vol up big, but app revs ATH? Close enough 📊⚠️

Bitcoin to $152K, Ethereum to $7K by year-end — Opinion (50/100)

Tom Lee's moonshot calls — loves going big or going home 🚀😏

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